Friday, September 16, 2011

Mid-September Atlantic Canadian Hybridstorm, Including Hurricane Maria Update Three










000
WTNT34 KNHC 161431
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND

...AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  MARIA SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER
CROSSING NEWFOUNDLAND AND LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY TONIGHT. 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
CANADIAN BUOY 44141 RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST OF 67 MPH...108 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE
CANADIAN BUOY NETWORK IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

Ramea - Connaigre
10:51 AM NDT Friday 16 September 2011
Rainfall warning for
Ramea - Connaigre continued

Rain is forecast to continue today. Amounts of 50 to 90 millimetres are expected with the heaviest rain along the south coast.

This is a warning that significant rainfall is occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

At 9:30 AM NDT hurricane Maria was located about 130 kilometres east-southeast of Sable Island. The latest forecast track takes Maria across the isthmus this afternoon. Maria will then merge with a large non-tropical low off Labrador on Saturday.

Rain ahead of Maria is expected to continue today and be heavy at times throughout the day. 60 to 90 millimetres of rain is forecast for the south coast with lesser amounts elsewhere.

Maria will also bring strong winds to Eastern Newfoundland today. Southwesterly winds gusting 100-120 km/h will develop for the Avalon Peninsula as the system nears. Also northeasterly winds briefly gusting to 100 km/h will develop for the Burin and Bonavista peninsulas as Maria passes.

As Maria merges with the Labrador system on Saturday expect strong west to southwesterly winds gusting 100-110 km/h to develop for the west coast, Northern Peninsula and Northeast Coast early Saturday morning.

Bay of Exploits
10:51 AM NDT Friday 16 September 2011
Wind warning for
Bay of Exploits continued

Winds gusting to 100-120 km/h are expected.

This is a warning that potentially damaging winds are expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

At 9:30 AM NDT hurricane Maria was located about 130 kilometres east-southeast of Sable Island. The latest forecast track takes Maria across the isthmus this afternoon. Maria will then merge with a large non-tropical low off Labrador on Saturday.

Rain ahead of Maria is expected to continue today and be heavy at times throughout the day. 60 to 90 millimetres of rain is forecast for the south coast with lesser amounts elsewhere.

Maria will also bring strong winds to Eastern Newfoundland today. Southwesterly winds gusting 100-120 km/h will develop for the Avalon Peninsula as the system nears. Also northeasterly winds briefly gusting to 100 km/h will develop for the Burin and Bonavista peninsulas as Maria passes.

As Maria merges with the Labrador system on Saturday expect strong west to southwesterly winds gusting 100-110 km/h to develop for the west coast, Northern Peninsula and Northeast Coast early Saturday morning.

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